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166
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352
- Pring, Martin J --- The All-Season Investor - Successful Strategies For Every Stage In The Business Cycles.pdf
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5
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- We develop a model in which time-varying real investment opportunities lead to time- varying adverse selection in the market for initial public oerings. The model is consis- tent with several stylized facts known about the IPO market: economic expansions are associated with a dramatic increase in the number of rms going public, which is in turn positively correlated with underpricing. The model also makes new predictions regard- ing long-run IPO returns. Adverse selection is shown to be of procyclical severity in the sense that dispersion in unobservable quality across rms should be more pronounced during booms. Taking the premise that that uncertainty will only be resolved (and thus private information revealed) over time, we test this hypothesis by looking at dispersion in long-run IPO returns. Consistent with the model, we nd that the cross-sectional variance in long-run abnormal returns increases substantially during hot IPO markets; none of the other return moments are as closely tie
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- 热度:
- 顶2
